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The Art of the Long View by Peter Schwarz

The Art of the Long View

Are you interested in the art of innovation and transformation? Peter Schwarz's book, The Art of the Long View, offers valuable insights on strategic foresight and planning for a successful future.

  • Scenario planning is a powerful tool for innovation and transformation. It allows organizations to envision multiple possible futures and prepare for them. For example, in the book, Shell used scenario planning to anticipate the 1973 oil crisis and successfully navigate the turbulent times that followed.
  • The "premortem" technique helps identify potential obstacles and failures before they happen. By imagining that a project has failed and analyzing the reasons behind it, teams can proactively address those issues and improve their chances of success.
  • The book emphasizes the importance of embracing uncertainty and learning from it. Instead of trying to predict the future with certainty, organizations should focus on building resilience and adaptability to thrive in a constantly changing world.
  • Long-term thinking is essential for sustainable success. By looking beyond short-term gains, businesses can make strategic decisions that not only benefit their bottom line but also contribute to the well-being of society and the environment.
  • Collaboration and diverse perspectives are crucial for effective decision-making. The book highlights the power of bringing together individuals with different backgrounds and expertise to challenge assumptions, foster innovation, and make more informed choices.

While The Art of the Long View offers valuable insights into strategic planning and scenario thinking, some readers may find the content complex and difficult to apply directly to their own organizations. The book's focus on long-term thinking might also make it less appealing to those seeking quick-fix solutions.

In conclusion, while The Art of the Long View offers valuable insights and tools for navigating the uncertain future, its lack of practical examples may leave some readers wanting more. Nonetheless, its emphasis on strategic foresight and its timeless principles make it a lasting resource for those seeking innovation and transformation in their businesses.

How do you play the long game?

Path has found 4 common modes of strategic change, each with their strengths and weaknesses.

Our simple tool helps you discover your default mode, and how to pick the mode you need right now.

Long Game Modes
The 4 Modes of Strategic Change



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